Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ENS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-09 9.178220 10.226086 11.373469 12.727948 14.289408 16.040371 18.162682
2025-11-16 7.639580 8.996967 10.590879 12.617956 15.151962 18.247994 22.368081
2025-11-23 6.636795 8.103427 9.906855 12.318771 15.508055 19.650414 25.555217
2025-11-30 5.999240 7.540596 9.508049 12.250924 16.053322 21.258469 29.141619
2025-12-07 5.355742 6.885425 8.895977 11.793049 15.965449 21.929280 31.433026
2025-12-14 4.790308 6.273486 8.270533 11.228529 15.628328 22.154639 33.027575
2025-12-21 4.419621 5.890437 7.916920 10.999223 15.730305 23.009659 35.691190
2025-12-28 4.470245 6.092623 8.394845 12.019206 17.817032 27.184721 44.528723
2026-01-04 4.298978 5.959254 8.368788 12.264097 18.699806 29.509670 50.536171
2026-01-11 4.007370 5.626648 8.017159 11.961163 18.642403 30.211774 53.619476
2026-01-18 3.891932 5.547713 8.042032 12.258523 19.620173 32.850798 60.960819
2026-01-25 3.669015 5.289434 7.767871 12.035399 19.660233 33.764421 64.906554
2026-02-01 3.458589 5.045012 7.510228 11.837925 19.761831 34.878634 69.683595
2026-02-08 3.282496 4.844225 7.309636 11.722404 20.004445 36.310945 75.523810
2026-02-15 3.092146 4.608585 7.034829 11.450218 19.916171 37.050332 79.873110
2026-02-22 2.957630 4.454916 6.885267 11.388225 20.225439 38.661704 86.767861
2026-03-01 2.770326 4.204336 6.556076 10.969994 19.779809 38.571115 89.196172
2026-03-08 2.580285 3.939974 6.188617 10.453857 19.085906 37.839708 89.735360
2026-03-15 2.455667 3.779002 5.991056 10.244044 19.006548 38.503497 94.386538
2026-03-22 2.522409 3.944080 6.373324 11.176616 21.450017 45.494968 119.863498
2026-03-29 2.474258 3.908600 6.394496 11.400255 22.373447 48.939187 135.495753
2026-04-05 2.356706 3.746350 6.175873 11.123595 22.137095 49.373431 141.117471
2026-04-12 2.322883 3.729653 6.223576 11.395166 23.195700 53.408952 160.956821